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Steel Dynamics Forecasts Lower Q4 Profit Due to Weak Steel Prices and Mill Outage

Steel Dynamics, one of the largest steelmakers in the U.S., has forecasted lower-than-expected earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024. The company projected earnings to be between $1.26 and $1.30 per share, a significant drop compared to analysts’ expectations of $1.62 per share. This guidance, issued on Monday, reflects challenges the company is facing due to weaker-than-anticipated steel prices and a setback from an unexpected outage at its Butler flat roll mill.

Before the market opened, Steel Dynamics’ shares fell by 3% in reaction to the earnings revision. The company attributed the decline in its forecast to the continued weakness in average steel pricing, which has affected its margins. Additionally, the mill outage at the Butler plant contributed to a decrease in production volumes, further pressuring the company’s financial outlook for the quarter. Despite the current challenges, Steel Dynamics expressed cautious optimism. The company highlighted that flat-rolled steel prices are stabilizing, and demand for steel remains steady, particularly in primary consuming sectors. Steel Dynamics anticipates an improvement in volumes in 2025, driven by a decline in interest rates and support from U.S. infrastructure initiatives and onshoring activities. These factors are expected to bolster demand for steel in the coming year. Steel Dynamics, based in Fort Wayne, Indiana, is scheduled to report its final fourth-quarter results on January 22, 2025. While the immediate outlook for the company is tempered, it remains confident that the broader economic environment and infrastructure-driven demand will support a stronger performance in 2025.

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